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Economic policy uncertainty (EPU) index for China’s 31 provinces

  • Contributors: Jian Yu, Xunpeng Shi, Dongmei Guo, Longjian Yang
  • Abstract: Following the methodology of Baker et al. (2016), we constructed a set of EPU indexes at the provincial level in China. First, we selected the daily newspapers of 31 provinces in China as the source for news media reports. Second, we established the following criteria for identifying EPU-related articles through keyword searches: a news article is classified as a target article if it contains at least one economic policy-related keyword and at least one uncertainty-related keyword. Third, we calculated the annual count of target articles for each province and normalized this value by dividing it by the total number of articles containing the keyword "economy" in corresponding provincial newspapers for that year, thereby obtaining the EPU article proportion for each province. Fourth, we standardized these provincial EPU proportions using their respective standard deviations to derive the final EPU indexes.

  Mr. Jian Yu and his collaborators have developed a provincial EPU index to quantify economic policy uncertainty across China's 31 provinces from 2000 to 2017. Please cite the following paper when utilizing this dataset:

  • Yu, J., Shi, X., Guo, D., Yang, L., 2021. Economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and firm carbon emissions: Evidence using a China provincial EPU index, Energy Economics, Vol. 94, No.105071.

  Authorized by Prof. Jian Yu from Central University of Finance and Economics, CnOpenData has established a dedicated data portal and indexing system for scholarly access.

  Download the dataset at Economic policy uncertainty (EPU) index for China’s 31 provinces.


Data Application Guide

Comparison of keywords criteria between Baker’s China EPU and China’s provincial EPU


Time Coverage

2000-2017


Field Description


Sample Data


References

  • Yu, J., Shi, X., Guo, D., Yang, L., 2021. Economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and firm carbon emissions: Evidence using a China provincial EPU index, Energy Economics, Vol. 94, No.105071.

Update Frequency

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